Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1236.572943 1405.087989 1592.334355 1816.559713 2078.729245 2376.714716 2742.677081
2025-09-14 946.449622 1159.491490 1418.219387 1758.500886 2198.603187 2754.547493 3519.474183
2025-09-21 788.564526 1013.451757 1302.642767 1707.223029 2267.332176 3028.487203 4164.009842
2025-09-28 674.633283 899.730794 1202.390998 1647.056260 2297.371788 3235.748958 4734.035887
2025-10-05 625.361699 862.865517 1195.651648 1707.548241 2496.320237 3702.512795 5761.943204
2025-10-12 576.492563 818.855618 1170.693730 1733.945461 2642.740487 4106.603563 6763.558937
2025-10-19 533.187954 777.015711 1142.298494 1748.439367 2768.258122 4491.598286 7804.186003
2025-10-26 495.960864 739.724708 1115.513978 1759.983916 2887.288717 4880.108120 8926.633842
2025-11-02 471.861860 719.851907 1113.010325 1809.576762 3076.236225 5419.787154 10454.218862
2025-11-09 446.506981 695.171286 1099.517354 1837.527488 3228.499531 5913.949654 11999.595834
2025-11-16 422.237726 669.791634 1081.858344 1855.064174 3362.257551 6392.185740 13621.805791
2025-11-23 400.985596 647.411307 1066.800703 1874.841149 3501.911135 6904.403477 15447.974182
2025-11-30 383.294472 630.258362 1060.361905 1912.318060 3687.684419 7560.071967 17836.901970
2025-12-07 353.414812 589.404402 1007.821152 1854.788907 3668.192216 7758.696811 19111.411762
2025-12-14 327.082967 552.720172 959.528611 1799.942386 3646.008940 7945.959664 20407.910300
2025-12-21 302.186318 516.745053 909.471861 1735.955294 3594.487650 8053.555736 21509.752110
2025-12-28 295.211092 513.162320 920.546128 1800.305347 3844.926358 8961.020263 25324.951393
2026-01-04 284.479677 501.634128 915.046454 1828.394470 4014.225022 9694.296152 28853.920519
2026-01-11 273.186439 488.141330 904.399410 1843.819265 4154.972535 10380.498672 32485.592131
2026-01-18 262.419620 474.852091 892.976103 1856.106271 4289.763517 11079.672408 36447.067493
2026-01-25 256.291270 470.216423 898.882855 1908.898415 4538.213029 12170.102445 42391.638575
2026-02-01 248.378000 461.405469 895.232966 1938.659237 4730.126997 13135.003434 48289.959873
2026-02-08 239.998589 451.041920 887.376532 1957.334129 4894.754060 14054.398062 54457.282525